Hi everybody and happy Mother's Day to everyone on Sunday the 13th of May 2018
I've been keeping track of this stuff like i said i would and yes indeed we
have a disturbance that is on the National Weather Service hurricane site
now I think they're calling it disturbance number one we've already had
disturbance number one it fizzled out so I guess they're calling this number one
again yes number one here it is a large area of cloudiness showers and
thunderstorms extending from western Cuba across the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico the Florida Straits and much of Florida peninsula is associated with a
broad surface low and trough interacting with an upper-level low now this system
could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves
slowly northward across the Eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days
regardless of subtropical or tropical cyclone formation this system will
enhance rainfall across portions of Florida and the northeastern Gulf Coast
during the next few days now in two days 30% five days 40 percent let's just
click it up and see what five days is looking like on their map well here we
go we have a bigger chance of something happening
here let's see what this has to say I'll put this up here so you can see it all
okay all right that this is anywhere from 40 to 60% they don't show you the
60% here but that's what it is you can see down in the bottom corner there
forty to sixty percent okay it's a large area of cloudiness showers and
thunderstorms it's still extending from western Cuba across southeastern Gulf of
Mexico now the Florida Straits and much of the Florida peninsula is associated
with a broad surface low it's interacting with an upper-level low
and the system could acquire could acquire some subtropical or tropical
characteristics while it moves slowly northward across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico during the next few days okay and it doesn't matter if it turns into
anything or not as a Rainmaker Florida you're going to get a lot of rain you
need to keep this in mind it looks like it's going to be headed more towards the
panhandle of Florida up towards Alabama and portions of Georgia but once again
it hasn't developed into anything yet it just looks like it has a chance to now
as we look at the map on the current TC FP this is the system right here they're
talking about the one that I've been talking about so much I saw this coming
and I didn't know if it would actually have the chance to develop or not but
the water is so warm and the wind shear is so low right in this area now I guess
the National Hurricane Center National Weather Service decided well hey we
better put something up I really don't think it's going to turn into anything
drastic people okay it could be a great Rainmaker and who knows it may turn into
something it may not but whatever it does you're going to be getting rain all
up in this area big-time from it the one that I keep
talking about here it is right here now on this they give it a percentage wiser
scale only goes to 13 on this so if if you've got a three which this does you
got a chance of doing something here's the one I'm talking about that's going
to be coming up in a few days it's got a three also let's go check something now
guys please share this information help me get this information out to everyone
okay everybody really needs to pay attention
to this okay we're just eighteen days away from hurricane season
now this is a latest run of the gfs from tropical tidbits stinky I'm not gonna
play the whole thing through I've got it run up two weeks from today May 27th
okay and here's this system that I keep talking about I think if any of them
could really turn into something I think this one has the chance I'm not saying
it's going to turn into anything and if it were to turn into anything I think it
would still be a tropical storm but like I say I've had tropical storms here
where I live we got more rain and flooding out of them than some
hurricanes we have had so anyway we're looking down here right around the
center there isobars are kind of tight but it doesn't really look that bad but
you know a tropical storm can form I want you to look at the damage of
pressure in these isobars it can warm from anywhere from 990 millibars to 10
10 and up here all the way around the highest one that goes up with this
system is 10 10 so we're going to move it up a little bit now we're going to go
ahead this is on Sunday also this is at around 12:00 noon we'll put it down so
you can see it well Wow look how they've sling those isobars have tightened up it
goes all the way up here still 10 10 much lower of course around the system
itself we'll move it on up this morning if you remember it was going this way
well everything has changed wind shear has changed everything has
changed since early this morning now this is Monday at midnight and this
day around 12:00 noon still looking like it's pretty hefty and healthy huh oh my
goodness when it gets to my college right where I live I'm in that red
people it looks like the center of it still offshore probably 75 to 100 miles
but I'm gonna get if this happens to stay on this track I myself I'm going to
get water coming in here from that with all the lash back and everything else
plus all the heavy rain so my goodness I have been checking this this afternoon
against this GFS model on the European model and other models in the European
model is showing this at this time also but it all can change people just blink
your eyes that can all change but please pay attention is what I'm saying well
moving on up now this is Tuesday it's moving on up northward still away from
land it's off the coast but you see how big this is right and it's still got the
right amount of barometric pressures it's beginning to weaken some but still
right around in this area it's still turning up the water to some degree with
like tropical storm winds that's the winds that I did find in it and this as
far as I can go but at this point if it stays on this track we're going to have
rain from Maine to my house North Carolina rain from Maine to North
Carolina what a brain maker this is we'll have to wait and see what happens
with it I wanted to be sure and get this out to everyone if you have anyone
that's living in the areas that these systems may have thick with heavy rain
whatever they decide to bring or maybe they'll bring nothing people need to
know about it so please share this information and make everyone aware
what's going on and if you live in this area for the next few days the next week
or so right in here I would pay attention to your local
weather forecast to see what they have to take with all that said and done I
love you guys so much please once again share this information I love you have
yourself a wonderful evening and much peace and love and kindness to each and
every one of you thank you so much for watching
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