Youtube daily plus Oct 27 2018

Howell: This is the Friday, October 26, 2018

version of the Market Plus segment.

Joining us now is Naomi Blohm.

Naomi, welcome back.

Blohm: Thanks, Delaney.

Howell: Naomi, we got a lot of questions in this

week about soybeans, China, relationships,

etc. So I think that's where we've got to start.

We're going to kick it off here with Dave in Western

Illinois.

He said, at what point would a China trade deal

be too late for a decent bean rally price?

Blohm: January is the answer because then the

South American production is going to be coming

online.

So we need them to not only get the trade deal

done but we need a huge commitment and huge sale

immediately.

We've got to get those boats moving in December.

And then in the back of my mind I'm wondering if we

can get something negotiated so well with

China, does China turn around and maybe cancel

some of the Brazil sales that they had made at

higher prices and make it more back to an equal

marketplace?

And so that's something I'm curious about.

The Brazil presidential elections are this weekend

and the current President is Trump-like in his

thought process and he has started to take a little

bit more of an aggressive stance towards his trade

ideas with China as well and I don't know that he

wants to shoot himself in the foot with things and

be overly aggressive on how he's talking.

But it will be interesting to see how that election

comes to play and then of course our midterms as

well.

That will be the biggest tell going forward.

Howell: And I think that kind of leads into the

next social media question we got here from Shannon

in Northwest Iowa.

What is the best guess, even if China and the USA

get something worked out on a soybean trade, how

long will it take to repair that relationship?

Blohm: I think it's going to be something that is

ongoing.

If I'm China, just based on the historical context

of what I feel that I understand about that

country, they're not going to let something like this

happen again and they're going to be upset if they

have to really come and negotiate a lot with us.

And so I'm thinking okay, maybe we'll get something

in the short-term figured out, but does that really

upset them for the long-term and down the

road we have to come and deal with them again in

some capacity.

But I think with their economy starting to really

slow down as a result of all this trade drama maybe

they're going to be quick to fix things sooner than

later and we can get that trade deal going forward.

I'm optimistic for the end of November when the

Presidents meet and hopefully we can get

something going.

Howell: Yeah.

And with that being said, the trade relationship is

definitely a fine balance.

Do you see them coming to the U.S.

right away if we do get some sort of relationship

built back together because we have cheap

soybeans but Brazil has obviously been a big

trading partner for them and that cultural or

historical thing -- Blohm: I think it's going

to be either one or two things.

It's going to be kiss and make up and just get this

thing going again.

Or it's going to be just meandering back and forth

and trying to keep -- Howell: Like they're

dating almost.

Blohm: Right, right, something.

It's just going to be one or the other.

So I'm hoping for just quick negotiations and

let's just get everything going because our Middle

America needs it, we're starting to see our

economies of course here in the Midwest be

dramatically affected by it.

Howell: Absolutely.

Naomi, with all of that being said, we've got a

great question here from Glen in Bryon, Ohio and I

think one a lot of producers are asking

themselves at this point in time.

With the current status of the relationships we have

with all our global trading partners, should

producers proceed with a passive, cautious or

aggressive attitude to marketing 2019 crops?

Blohm: I would say most likely be aggressive in

terms of really understanding cost of

production, knowing where your profits lie, getting

the orders in place with your elevator so that way

they're triggered because the biggest thing is that

we have supply surplus right now in the United

States unless this soybean harvest shows us

otherwise, that the yields are much smaller that it

would take a bite out of those large ending stocks

or unless South America has horrible weather this

winter for their growing season.

Unless we can see something like that happen

it might be another year where we just have to

scratch and claw at every dime and quarter that we

can make.

So I would think be aggressive when you see

the opportunities there unless the supply

situation suddenly shifts.

Howell: Naomi, how closely are you watching South

American weather?

Are they setting themselves up for a

pattern of dry weather or wet weather this year?

Blohm: I haven't kept track of it enough to know

what January or February might bring.

but traditionally when there's any sort of a

weather implication in those months the futures

market responds quickly and that is part of the

seasonal rally and those are a lot of times your

best opportunities to get moving on sales for crops

in the bin or being thinking about forward

contracting for the next year to come.

Howell: All right.

Perfect.

That was a great answer, Naomi.

Let's take another question here from Bradley

in Upland, Nebraska.

There is talk of the U.S.

losing 9 million acres of soybean to Brazil

permanently due to Chinese tariffs.

What will those acres be planted in, in 2019 and

beyond?

And then additionally, will most of those acres

being in the Dakotas?

And will land go back to pasture?

Blohm: That's an awesome question and one that I've

been wondering as well.

Years ago when we would call to the Dakotas to

talk to producers we would hear lots of canola, we

would hear sunflowers, we would hear sugar beets and

so I wonder if we start to hear some of those types

of things.

In Wisconsin and our Central Sands we had more

veggie crops that were grown.

And so maybe we see a little bit more diversity

that way.

It could be.

I don't know is the answer but it will really be

something to watch.

Howell: All right.

Let's take another question here, another

Chinese question, Naomi, I hope you're not getting

tired of them.

We've got Jason.

He wants to know, if the Chinese need less meal

because of the swine fever, will that affect

the meal market in the U.S.? Blohm: It

absolutely could.

And the other part to that as well is that China this

week said to India we are going to allow you to

bring in your rapeseed meal to China again and so

China is doing everything that they can to open

doors little bits here and there to make sure that if

they really want to dig their heels into the

United States that they're able to do so until the

early harvested South American beans come into

production.

So it is something to watch every week, it's so

important right now.

Howell: We saw the meal market drop, I don't

remember off the top of my head, I think it was $5.80

or something like that, week over week.

Is that because of Chinese demand?

Blohm: I think that's a big part of it, yeah, very

much so, very much so and so something to again keep

watching going forward.

Howell: And how much of that is pulling the

soybean markets down with it because usually when we

have a meal rally it pulls the soy complex up with

it.

Is it also pulling soybeans down?

Blohm: Absolutely, definitely tied to it, the

demand there.

So the soybean meal exports are something to

watch and just the demand here as well.

So they are absolutely tied and without a doubt

that is part of the reason that the soybean market

has been sliding, had been sliding lower as well.

Howell: Turning back to the African swine fever

here, Jim in Worthington, Minnesota would like to

know, will the African swine virus or fever cause

the hog market to run like it did with PED?

Blohm: It could because the African swine fever is

different where it can affect any pig of any age

and so then you're actually seeing something

where the breeding stock and the sows can really be

affected and then it takes years to come back

essentially where PED was only affecting just the

piglets, just the babies.

And so it could be something very different.

But of course it's China, you don't know for sure

the full story.

I think the answer will come in the form of do we

see our export market pick up and ae we exporting

more overseas towards China either towards South

Korea or maybe even to China direct because China

has always said that they're going to make sure

that they're feeding their people and the hog and the

pork is their big staple.

That is their thing and they have already been

very vocal about making sure that they have that

food to provide to their people.

So I'm hoping that it will lead to more exports for

the United States farmer.

Time will tell.

This winter could get really exciting.

And like we were saying on the show, the hog market

is up against resistance on charts, on the futures

charts, and if it can get through those resistance

levels I think you'll see spec buying come in, I

think you see just that marketplace start to work

higher as well and we'll keep an eye on the cash

market.

Howell: Naomi, I've had this question I want to

ask you.

It's a difficult question, I ask it to a lot of

different analysts.

But 433 million hogs, give or take, that's what

China's hog herd is.

They have culled, I don't know, different reports

quote different things, let's say 200,000 head.

How many hogs are they going to have to cull

before it's like okay, now it's a problem, we need to

start bringing in pork from the U.S.

or wherever?

Blohm: I don't know.

I wouldn't even know how to quite go about

answering it unless I sat down to just really try to

figure it out.

And again, with China we'd never know for sure what's

the truth, what is coming, what's not and so I think

maybe we'll start to hear more of those answers once

these elections are done and once we have the two

Presidents meet at the end of November, maybe we'll

see a little bit more transparency when it comes

to that question.

Howell: All right.

Naomi Blohm, thank you so much.

Blohm: Yeah, thanks Delaney.

Howell: Join us again next week when we'll explore

the next steps for a young couple that moved from the

city back to the farm and Don Roose will join me at

the Market to Market table.

Until then, thanks for watching, listening or

reading.

I'm Delaney Howell.

Have a great week!

For more infomation >> Market Plus: Naomi Blohm (October 26, 2018) - Duration: 9:59.

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Plus belle la vie : Babeth s'en prend à Anne - Duration: 1:39.

For more infomation >> Plus belle la vie : Babeth s'en prend à Anne - Duration: 1:39.

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Lamps Plus, Inc. v. Varela [SCOTUSbrief] - Duration: 4:44.

This case is between an employee, Frank Varela, and his employer, Lamps Plus. In

early 2016, Lamps Plus was the victim of a

cyberattack and a lot of the company's data about their employees was stolen,

including the personal data of Mr. Varela. Shortly thereafter, Mr. Varela

filed a class-action lawsuit in federal court seeking to litigate on behalf not

only of himself, but of a number of other Lamps Plus

employees. Once he filed suit, Lamps Plus filed what's called a motion to compel

individual arbitration. Mr. Varela and Lamps Plus waived their right to

proceed in court for the claims that they might have against one another and

there's fairly standard language in the arbitration agreement that does this.

There is no express language in the arbitration agreement saying that the

parties will not engage in class arbitration and the issue here is did

the parties agree in an arbitration agreement that they could resolve claims

on a class-wide basis?

Lamps Plus is saying the arbitration agreement says nothing about class

arbitration and that it clearly envisions traditional bilateral

arbitration. Mr. Varela, on the other hand, is saying that the arbitration agreement

contains broad language that authorizes the court to compel class arbitration.

And so, the issue for the court to decide is did the parties agree that their

claims could be resolved through class arbitration? This case is a follow-on

from a 2010 decision in a case called Stolt-Nielsen. In Stolt-Nielsen, the

Supreme Court held that a court cannot compel parties to proceed through class

arbitration unless the arbitration agreement shows that the parties agreed

to do so. The Supreme Court has made clear that arbitration, traditional

arbitration as envisioned by Congress and the Federal Arbitration Act, is

bilateral individual arbitration and that is the default of what parties are

agreeing to when they enter into arbitration agreements. Fast-forward

eight years, that issue is now squarely before the Court. Lamps Plus best

argument is that traditional ways of interpreting contracts and including the

language make clear that it never would have agreed to class-wide arbitration.

Class-wide arbitration is such a unique mechanism for resolving disputes that

Lamps Plus never would have agreed to resolve disputes with its employees in

this manner. Part of what Lamps Plus is seeking is a

clear rule from the Supreme Court that says that when a lower court is

reviewing when a request to proceed through class arbitration that the Court

should demand and look for express language in the arbitration agreement

authorizing the parties to proceed through class-wide arbitration. Mr.

Varela's best argument is to look to the contract and the contract does contain

fairly broad language saying that the parties will agree to

resolve disputes through arbitration. In some sense, Mr. Varela is urging the

Court to read the words in a more literal sense to say all proceedings

means that the parties agree that everything, including class-wide claims,

should proceed through arbitration. And the reason this could be an interesting

case is because there are a lot of contracts out there and a lot of

arbitration agreements out there in which the agreement does not explicitly

address whether the parties can proceed through class arbitration and so the

Court has an opportunity to resolve a lot of uncertainty here about how courts

interpret agreements that do not contain explicit language addressing class-wide

arbitration.

For more infomation >> Lamps Plus, Inc. v. Varela [SCOTUSbrief] - Duration: 4:44.

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Google Plus Is KILLING Youtube - Duration: 5:35.

We were tipped off about a problem with youtube initially shared by markiplier, a youtuber

with 22 million subscribers.

In a video on markipliers channel called Youtube Is Broken…and here's why, markiplier explains

everything.

He says that the reason for the youtube shutdown is likely google plus.

Youtube hasn't said anything about how the crash happened even now.

And its been more than a week.

Could it be that google doesn't want to admit that youtube is broken?

That's what markiplier thinks and honestly, it would explain a lot.

Hey there you're watching inform overload, I'm charlotte dobre and smash the subscribe

for daily news updates you actually want to hear about.

And if you don't follow us on social media, check out the description for all our links.

Alright, so this video will be a ranty video where I complain about youtube, which are

honestly my favourite videos.

I love complaining about youtube.

We still don't know what caused youtube to break.

And that's crazy because youtube has never had a problem like this before.

There would be little issues that would cause the site to crash for no more than a few minutes

at a time, but for an entire 90 minutes?

This was unheard of.

Well, markiplier says that he thinks he knows why the youtube shut down happened and it

has a lot to do with the shutdown of google plus.

Here's the deal.

In 2014, google made it mandatory for creators to create a google plus account.

Google plus is essentially googles attempt at creating competition with facebook.

It was created in june of 2011 and it was supposed to be this huge social network.

When you create a google account, google created a google plus account for you, unless you

specified not to and actually made sure that you opted out.

But if you wanted to create an account that allowed you to comment on youtube, you needed

to make a google plus account, so many people had them.

But that doesn't mean that people would actually use google plus as a social network.

Google has reported that google plus has low useage and engagement, and 90 percent of all

google plus user sessions last less than 5 seconds.

You just go on google plus to check a notification or something and then you close it.

And to top everything off, unless you carefully turned it off, google plus would display the

comments you had made on youtube on your google plus profile.

I mean I don't have a problem with this, but not everyone wants to display their negative

comments for the world to see.

Right Before the big youtube crash that happened last week, it was announced that google plus

was going to be shut down because of privacy leaks.

Google came forward to admit that a bug in exposed the personal information of up to

half a million google plus users.

This was actually discovered back in march of 2018, but google didn't say anything

about it until October of 2018.

Basically what happened was a flaw in the programming allowed 438 external apps to access

users names, email addresses, occupations, gender and age without authorization.

Google said that theres no evidence to suggest that anyones information was misused.

So in about 10 months, they are shutting it down completely, but they tried to change

the code on the Tuesday that youtube crashed.

Now they reverted the change and they are trying to figure out what happened, but that

doesn't change the fact that youtube is basically broken right now.

Because they shut down google plus, youtube is being affected.

Over the last few days, channels are experiencing a 30-40% dip in initial viewers, and prolonged

viewers.

And that's because People aren't getting their notifications.

People have actually been complaining in the comments that they aren't getting their

notifications and this is why.

Which is honestly, kind of a relief.

I have actually noticed a dip in initial viewes and I thought it was me, im like damn im not

picking good stories, the thumbnails suck, people hate me, but its nice to know that

its not all my fault.

They changed the code on google plus that caused youtube to crash because so much of

youtube is integrated into google plus.

Once the code was changed, that caused a huge problem with youtube.

People aren't getting notifications on google plus when youtubers upload their videos, which

is how so many people found out when their favourite creators upload a video.

And there are a lot of things going on in the backend for creators in the creator studio

that just aren't working.

To sum it up, markiplier said that youtube just doesn't care about its creators.

They don't care about their creators because they rely on code and algorhythm instead.

And now that the code and algorhythm doesn't work, creators are suffering.

Until Youtube put a system in place that gives benefit to creators, its going to continue.

And the fact that youtube isn't saying anything is also a problem considering the fact that

youtube creators are supposed to be partners.

Without us, they don't make money.

But they still don't tell us when stuff like this happens.

Anyways guys, that's all I have to say about that, its time to respond to some comments

on our video crazy black teen says shes white.

If you haven't seen this video, check it out by clicking the link at the top of the

screen.

Marco Marco – this girl and woah Vicky should ake a mixtape.

That shit would be fire.

Throw in some features.

Arekisapotato – watching in my bathroom!

Very exciting.

Nathanael – is charlotte white?

Or is she a potato?

I might have potato skin but I am white on the inside.

Wagwanpifting man – I think I woke up on the wrong planet.

I say this every day.

Why you smiling when you're next – charlotte do a high kick.

The video is over, thanks for watching, over here is a link to another IO video so you

can keep watching this channel.

And if you were a fan of this video, leave a like, subscribe and turn on those notifications

so I can see you in a future IO video.

For more infomation >> Google Plus Is KILLING Youtube - Duration: 5:35.

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O MY GOD DOES NEVER GIVE THIS TO YOUR MAN. IS NOT A REMEDY BUT A POISON FOR HIM! - Duration: 4:58.

music bracket me and you wow my love , welcome to this news

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